Showing posts with label Statistics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Statistics. Show all posts

Thursday, April 30, 2026

The Myth of Catholics Preferring Trump Over the Pope: Debunking a Misleading Narrative

The Myth of Catholics Preferring Trump Over the Pope: Debunking a Misleading Narrative

In recent weeks, amid tensions between President Donald Trump and Pope Leo XIV (the first American pontiff), some online voices and partisan commentators have pushed a narrative that U.S. Catholics favor Trump more than the Pope. 

This claim circulates in memes, social media posts, and selective interpretations of polling. It is inaccurate, unscientific, and contradicted by robust data from reputable sources. Let's examine the facts.


 The Alleged Poll and Why It's Problematic

No credible, scientific poll directly supports the idea that Catholics as a group "favor Trump more than the Pope." Searches for such a poll turn up no reputable survey framing the question this way. Instead, the claim appears to stem from:


- Misreadings of Trump's 2024 election performance among Catholic voters (he won a majority, around 55-59% according to exit polls).

- Cherry-picked approval ratings for Trump among Catholics (often in the 48-52% range) without comparing them to the Pope's favorability.

- Partisan spin ignoring methodology, sample sizes, and question wording.


Why such claims are unscientific:

1. Apples-to-Oranges Comparison: Trump's figures are typically job approval ratings (a political metric tied to policy and performance). The Pope's are personal favorability ratings (a broader measure of respect for his spiritual role). Equating them misleads.


2. Lack of Head-to-Head Polling: Legitimate polls rarely pit the two directly in the same question among Catholics. When favorability is measured side-by-side, the Pope dominates.


3. Sampling and Margin of Error Issues: Many viral claims rely on subgroup crosstabs with small samples (e.g., a few hundred Catholics), leading to higher margins of error (±5-8 points or more). Fluctuations (Trump's Catholic approval dipping then rebounding slightly) get exaggerated.


4. Selection Bias: Pro-Trump voices highlight one poll's Trump numbers while ignoring consistent high Pope ratings from Pew, EWTN/RealClear, NBC, and others.


 The Real Data: Pope Leo XIV's Strong Support Among Catholics

Reputable polls consistently show Pope Leo XIV enjoys overwhelming favorability among U.S. Catholics:


- Pew Research Center (September 2025): 84% of U.S. Catholics view Pope Leo favorably (37% "very favorable," 47% "mostly favorable"). Only 4% unfavorable; 11% hadn't heard of him. This matches early ratings for Pope Francis and holds across demographics, including 95% among weekly Mass attendees.


- EWTN News / RealClear Opinion Research (late 2025): 70% favorable toward Pope Leo (44% "very," 27% "somewhat"). Just 4% unfavorable. In the same poll, Trump had 52% favorable—respectable but far below the Pope.


- NBC News (March 2026): Pope Leo had the highest net favorability among public figures tested (+34 among broader voters), far ahead of Trump (-12).


Catholic approval of Trump has fluctuated (e.g., Fox News polls showed it dipping to 48% approve/52% disapprove in March 2026 before rebounding to 51%/49% in April), but it remains well below the Pope's consistent 70-84% favorability.


Even among Catholic voters who supported Trump in 2024, loyalty to the papacy as an institution remains high. Catholics are not a monolith—white Catholics lean more Republican; Hispanic Catholics less so—but respect for the Pope transcends partisan lines in polling.


 Context Matters: Election vs. Ongoing Leadership

Trump did win a majority of Catholic voters in 2024 (around 55-59%), building on cultural issues like abortion. However, this reflects a snapshot of electoral choice, not enduring personal preference over the Holy Father. Post-election polls show policy disagreements (e.g., on immigration, war) and the recent Trump-Pope tensions have strained but not broken Catholic support for the pontiff.

Faithful Catholics can (and do) support political candidates while maintaining filial respect for the Pope. Polling does not show a wholesale preference for Trump over the Pope.


 Conclusion

The notion that Catholics favor Trump more than Pope Leo XIV is a distortion unsupported by evidence. High-quality surveys from Pew, EWTN, NBC, and Fox consistently demonstrate the Pope's far stronger personal favorability among Catholics. Conflating election votes, approval ratings, and favorability ratings creates a false narrative. U.S. Catholics, like the broader Church, prioritize faith over fleeting political figures.

As Catholics, our ultimate allegiance is to Christ and His Church—not any politician. Polls reflect this reality.


Sources:


- Pew Research Center: "More than 8 in 10 U.S. Catholics view Pope Leo favorably" (Sept. 2025).

- EWTN News / RealClear Opinion Research polls (2025).

- Fox News Polls (Feb-April 2026 crosstabs).

- NBC News Poll (March 2026).


- Additional context from CNN exit polls, PRRI, and Quinnipiac (2024-2026).

Monday, June 10, 2024

Decline in Belief in the True Presence in the Holy Eucharist and How We Can Reverse This

The Eucharist, known as the source and summit of Christian life, has been a central element of Catholic worship for centuries. However, recent studies and surveys have indicated a decline in the belief in the Real Presence of Christ in the Eucharist among Catholics. This trend is a complex issue that encompasses theological, cultural, and educational factors.

One significant aspect contributing to this decline is the lack of understanding of the Church's teachings. A study by the Pew Research Center found that only 31% of U.S. Catholics believe that during the Eucharist, the bread and wine actually become the body and blood of Jesus Christ, a process known as transubstantiation. This is a fundamental doctrine of the Catholic faith, yet it seems that many Catholics are either unaware of this teaching or do not accept it.

Another factor is the role of clergy in communicating and reinforcing Church teachings. An article from Catholic Answers Magazine discusses how clergy who do not fully understand or believe in the doctrine of the Eucharist can inadvertently lead to a weakening of faith among the laity. The article highlights the importance of clear and coherent teaching from the clergy to prevent confusion and maintain the integrity of Eucharistic faith.

The COVID-19 pandemic has also had an impact on religious practices, including Mass attendance. A survey conducted by the Center for Applied Research in the Apostolate (CARA) and NORC revealed a decline in weekly Mass attendance, which fell from 24% in 2019 to 17% post-pandemic. This reduction in participation may also contribute to a weakening of Eucharistic belief, as regular attendance at Mass is closely linked to a deeper understanding and appreciation of the Eucharist.  This makes sense due to the fact that churches were closed, sick and dying people were denied the Eucharist and last rites. This sent a message that not even the Church believed God is stronger than a virus and pretty much invalidated the Eucharist and Sacraments.  Many Catholics found themselves asking what is the point of even being Catholic or following the rules, so to speak, if not even Church leaders had faith and many even believed Holy Communion could spread viruses and was not necessary for the sick and dying to receive the Sacrament.  

Education and catechesis play a crucial role in fostering a robust Eucharistic faith. The same CARA and NORC survey found that those who learned about the Eucharist from the Bible or through formal religious education were more likely to believe in the Real Presence. This underscores the need for effective catechetical programs that can address misconceptions and provide a clear exposition of the Church's teachings. Unfortunately, after Vatican II some took it upon themselves to water down catechetical programs and curriculum in order to align to secular values and views. We saw clerics, religious and lay people toy around with the Liturgies of the Church and set aside devotions, processions, even relics as superstitious outdated practices. Even today we see on social media some alleged Catholics calling the Eucharist an "idol,"  Eucharistic processions as "idolatrous" or vain displays and the Brown Scapular and Rosary as superstition.  

In response to these challenges, many within the Church are calling for a renewed emphasis on Eucharistic education and devotion. Eucharistic adoration, for example, is a practice that can deepen one's reverence and understanding of the Real Presence. By spending time in adoration, the faithful can cultivate a more intimate relationship with Christ and, in turn, strengthen their belief in the Eucharist.

Reversing the Decline in Belief in the Holy Eucharist: A Multifaceted Approach

The decline in belief in the Real Presence of Christ in the Eucharist is a concern that has been echoed by many within the Catholic Church. Addressing this issue requires a multifaceted approach that encompasses education, liturgical reverence, and personal witness. Here are some strategies that could be employed to foster a deeper understanding and belief in the Eucharist.

1. Enhanced Catechesis and Education: There is a pressing need for improved catechetical programs that clearly articulate the Church's teachings on the Eucharist. This could involve the development of engaging educational materials, workshops, and courses that delve into the scriptural and theological foundations of the Eucharist. For this to work, the material must be properly vetted. Catechists and religious education coordinators, seminary professors must be aligned with Church teaching. They must be orthodox in their doctrinal views and not use the Church and scholarshop as their personal fellowship where they can toy around with ideas that are foreign to the faith. 

2. Liturgical Renewal: The way the Eucharist is celebrated can profoundly impact belief.  Priests and deacons need to be retrained and that training refreshed every year.  They must be reminded of the rubrics and how to engage them pastorally while simultaneously adhering to Liturgical norms and regulations that present an authentic lex orandi lex credendi situation.  Encouraging practices that promote reverence, such as receiving Communion on the tongue while kneeling, receiving on the hand properly and reverently could help underscore the sacredness of the sacrament.  Our people need to genuflect before passing the Tabernacle. They need to know how to properly receive and to be in the state of grace before receiving Holy Communion. They need to know the church building and each part, in particular, the Sanctuary Lamp, its significance and the Tabernacle, Altar and other items used.

3. Eucharistic Adoration: Promoting and increasing opportunities for Eucharistic adoration can provide the faithful with a space to contemplate and worship the Real Presence of Christ in a quiet and prayerful setting.  Parishes need to be open daily for people to come. There is nothing sadder than seeing a church with its doors shut while the Church says all are welcome.  How can we say Jesus is truly in our churches while keeping the people locked away from Him?

4. Personal Testimonies: Sharing personal experiences of how the Eucharist has impacted individuals' lives can be a powerful tool for evangelization. Testimonies can be shared through various platforms, including social media, parish websites, and community gatherings. This is key and part of the New Evangelization. People learn more from others who are like them, think like them and are familiar with their customs and cultures.  

5. Clergy Formation: Ensuring that seminarians and clergy have a robust and orthodox understanding of the Eucharist is crucial. They are, after all, the primary educators and role models for the laity in matters of faith.  It is crucial for seminary instructors to be orthodox Catholics and not whatever scholar you found and hired. Deacons, priests and bishops must continue their education. Four or even seven years is not enough. Humans forget. They lapse overtime. It is important for them to get refreshment courses.  

6. Community Involvement: Creating parish groups focused on deepening Eucharistic devotion and understanding can help build a community that supports and grows in faith together.

7. Family Catechesis: The family is often referred to as the "domestic church," and as such, it plays a vital role in faith formation. Providing resources and programs for families to learn about and pray before the Eucharist together can help instill belief from a young age.

8. Integration into Parish Life: The Eucharist should be the center of parish life. Activities, from social events to service projects, can be tied back to the Eucharistic mission of the Church, thus reinforcing its importance.  More Eucharistic processions need to be held, especially on streets to give witness.  

9. Art and Music: Utilizing the beauty of sacred art and music can draw people into a deeper appreciation and awe of the mystery of the Eucharist. This can include Eucharistic hymns, art exhibitions, and educational tours that explain the Eucharistic symbolism found in church architecture and iconography.

10. Regular Preaching on the Eucharist: Homilies that frequently highlight the Eucharistic teachings of the Church can help keep the doctrine at the forefront of parishioners' minds.

11. Inviting Non-Practicing Catholics: Outreach to those who have fallen away from regular practice can include invitations to special Eucharistic celebrations and events designed to reignite faith and understanding.

12. Intercessory Prayer: Encouraging the faithful to pray for an increase in Eucharistic belief can be a powerful spiritual practice, recognizing that faith is ultimately a gift from God.

By implementing these strategies, the Church can work towards reversing the decline in Eucharistic belief and fostering a renewed love and reverence for this central tenet of Catholic faith. It is through education, worship, and personal witness that the mystery of the Eucharist can once again be recognized and cherished by the faithful.

The decline in belief in the Holy Eucharist is a multifaceted issue that requires a comprehensive approach to address. It involves not only educating the faithful about the doctrine but also ensuring that the Church's teachings are presented clearly and compellingly. As the Church navigates this challenge, it is essential to remember the transformative power of the Eucharist and its place at the heart of Catholic life.


References:

: When Priests Weaken Eucharistic Faith - Catholic Answers

: Majority of US Catholics Misunderstand the Real Presence in the Eucharist - uCatholic

: Eucharistic Adoration - What is it and How do We Practice it? - Catholic Heart Ablaze

: Survey on Catholic belief in the Eucharist prompts calls for better catechesis - Catholic News Agency

Study Shows Declining Belief in the Eucharist – The Torch | Boston College's Catholic Newspaper (bctorch.com)

One-third of U.S. Catholics believe in transubstantiation | Pew Research Center

What Should We Do About the Loss of Belief in the Real Presence?| National Catholic Register (ncregister.com)

New study shows that now almost two-thirds of US Catholics believe in Real Presence  | Catholic News Agency

The Crisis Behind the Crisis of Faith in the Real Presence – Catholic World Report

The Eucharistic Revival is missing something: the Blood of Christ | America Magazine


Thursday, June 6, 2024

Study: Covid-19 Vaccines May Have Led To More Deaths

The Impact of the Pandemic on Excess Mortality Rates: A Call for Comprehensive Analysis

The COVID-19 pandemic has left an indelible mark on global health and mortality rates. A recent study has brought to light the persistent high rates of excess deaths in the Western world, despite the implementation of containment measures and the distribution of vaccines. This phenomenon underscores the need for a thorough investigation into the causes of these excess deaths to better understand the pandemic's full impact and to prepare more effectively for future public health crises.

Excess mortality is a term used to describe the number of deaths during a crisis that exceeds what would be expected under 'normal' conditions. During the COVID-19 pandemic, excess mortality has been a crucial metric for assessing the overall death toll, accounting for both direct and indirect impacts of the virus. The study, which analyzed data from 47 countries, found that there were approximately 3,098,456 excess deaths from January 2020 to December 2022. This staggering figure reveals the profound effect of the pandemic on the Western world.

The year 2020 saw the onset of the pandemic and the implementation of various containment measures, resulting in 1,033,122 excess deaths. In 2021, despite the introduction of COVID-19 vaccines alongside containment measures, the highest number of excess deaths was reported at 1,256,942. Preliminary data for 2022 indicates 808,392 excess deaths, even as most containment measures were lifted and vaccination efforts continued.

These findings raise serious concerns and highlight the necessity for government leaders and policymakers to conduct comprehensive investigations into the underlying causes of persistent excess mortality. Such analyses are crucial for evaluating the effectiveness of health crisis policies and for understanding the broader implications of the pandemic.

The study's results also emphasize the importance of robust health information systems that can provide accurate, complete, and timely data on mortality rates. The discrepancies between reported COVID-19 deaths and excess mortality estimates suggest that many countries may be facing a significant undercount of total deaths attributable to the pandemic.

As we continue to navigate the aftermath of COVID-19, it is imperative that we gain a complete picture of its toll. Only through meticulous research and analysis can we hope to mitigate the effects of such a crisis in the future and ensure that our health systems are better equipped to handle similar challenges.

For more detailed information on the study and its methodology, readers are encouraged to consult the original research published in BMJ Public Health. The true extent of the pandemic's impact is a complex issue that warrants attention and action from all sectors of society.


Source:

Excess deaths since pandemic need to be 'thoroughly' investigated: study (nypost.com)

Monday, April 4, 2016

Church Goers less Likely To Commit Crime

Atheists often like to say that there are more Christians in prison than atheists and then conclude that there is a correlation between religion and crime.  This of course is a false equivocation fallacy and a poor understanding of the principle in science that Correlation does not imply causation. Moreover, it shows ignorance of the law of numbers in statistics which states that the larger a sample is, the more it reflects the mean of the whole population better.  Therefore, if there are more Christians in prison than atheists, this is because there are more Christians overall in society.  Similarly, there are more African Americans in prison than any other racial group. An ignorant racist bigot would then possibily conclude that Black people are bad or commit crimes by nature when in fact, this is not so. Atheists are not immune from such bigoted ignorance as well in regards to their bias against religion.
A study by the University of Manchester further shows that religion does not increase crime.  In fact, it lowers criminality.  The study led by doctorate candidate, Mark Littler showed that people who went to worship or church were linked to lower levels of criminality.  Littler stated, "This research implies that the act of visiting a place of worship may trigger a significant reduction in the likelihood of involvement in certain types of criminal and delinquent behaviour."

The study used survey data from 1,214 people ranging from 18 to 34 years old. It included data on delinquencies such as littering, skipping school or work, the use of illegal drugs, transportation fare evasion, shoplifting, music piracy, damage to property and violence against other individuals. Those who participated in religious services were less likely to commit crimes.  This indicates that religion helps in the promotion of pro-social behavioral norms which keeps societies civil.

Littler stated: "These results suggest a more positive picture of Britain's religious life than the doom and gloom you might read about it in the newspapers."

Mark Littler is available for comment

For media enquiries contact:
Mike Addelman
Press Officer
Faculty of Humanities
The University of Manchester
0161 275 0790
07717 881567
Michael.addelman@manchester.ac.uk















Source:

http://phys.org/news/2014-01-worship-linked-criminality.html

http://www.manchester.ac.uk/discover/news/article/?id=11380












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